Arkansas Chief Justice tries to fire senior court administrators, is thoroughly rebuffed

A bizarre story out of Arkansas, where new Chief Justice Karen Baker decided that one of her first official acts would be to fire ten court employees, most of them senior administrators. On Thursday, January 2, one day after being sworn in, Baker apparently confronted Supreme Court Chief of Police Pete Hollingsworth and Director of the Administrative Office of the Courts (AOC) Marty Sullivan, and announced that she was planning to fire them. Baker later prepared termination letters for Hollingsworth, Sullivan, and eight other senior court officials. But Sullivan refused to accept the termination, and things got interesting.

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Did everyone miss the point of the Chief Justice’s Year-End Report?

Per tradition, Chief Justice John Roberts quietly released his 2024 Year-End Report on the Federal Judiciary on New Year’s Eve. Each year’s report briefly expounds on a single theme before concluding with a high-level statistical summary of the federal court’s work. The report typically garners relatively little attention, but this year was different. Some talking heads are convinced that the report is a direct jab at Donald Trump or J.D. Vance, or at least a warning to the country of the dystopian future heading our way on January 20. Others have suggested the report is an exercise in hypocrisy by a politicized Supreme Court that is unwilling to face criticism. Even the more dispassionate analyses have concluded that the report is, at its core, a condemnation of threats to judges or a call to protect judicial independence.

All of these have missed the point. The Year-End Reports are always terse, cautious, and carefully written, and the Chief Justice almost never directly states his views in full. One has to look for the hints. And this year the hints point to a real, if deliberately understated, concern about the erosion of respect for the rule of law and the country’s democratic institutions.

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The courts are still in Phase I of their relationship with AI — but change is coming

This week, the Colorado Court of Appeals issued its first opinion cautioning litigants about relying on generative AI to draft legal briefs, joining a number of other courts that have similarly warned (and sometimes sanctioned) parties and lawyers for including “bogus” AI-generated case citations. 

Judicial pushback against the errors caused by ChatGPT and other early publicly available AI models is sound policy, no different than teachers balking at AI-generated student essays. The AI programs currently available to the public can be astonishing in their creativity, but are also prone to hallucination and more often than not produce a mediocre result. Professor Ethan Mollick has compared such programs to a tireless but clumsy intern — eager to please and lightning fast, but lacking polish, sophistication, or accountability to reality. So it is natural that the courts’ first priority is to put out the fire of fake case citations.

But one should not confuse legitimate concerns about flawed AI today with pessimism about the transformative power of AI going forward. AI’s large language models are learning very quickly, and a rapid influx of users will spur even more rapid development. Legal research services like Lexis/Nexis and Westlaw have introduced their own first-generation AI services, which aim to connect more rigorously to actual legal precedent. It will not be long before legal research is indeed faster, better, and more thorough than ever before — a change akin to the introduction of electronic legal databases in the 1980s.

The courts, too, are not too far off from embracing AI for their own purposes. In Phase II, judges and court staff will rely on AI to read briefs and transcripts, summarize arguments, check citations, and even produce questions for oral argument. In Phase III, they will use AI to draft opinions and orders, initially in low-stakes cases (to help with the workload) but eventually in high-stakes, complex litigation. In Phase IV, AI itself will hear the case, render the decision, and draft an order or opinion.

Phase IV may feel futuristic, but it is coming, and sooner than we think. State courts in particular are contending with a massive increase in self-represented litigants — individuals who have real legal problems but who cannot (or choose not to) pay a lawyer to help guide them through the system. Many have cases that are legally straightforward (such as a basic contract dispute) and may be willing to submit those cases to an AI “judge” with the promise of a quicker and less expensive resolution. As AI improves, such judging programs eventually will be available on demand and from the comfort of one’s own home, no different that the modern telehealth industry. They may start as private, ADR-style offerings that compete with courts for customers, but eventually court systems themselves will feel pressure to embrace the same technology.

Of course, courts will not move into AI judging lightly, and nothing will happen until the courts are convinced that whatever system they employ can guarantee an accurate application of existing law, preserve the guarantees of due process, and protect confidentiality as needed. But we are on cusp of a major technological transformation that could benefit resource-starved courts and decision-starved parties in equal measure.

Effort to speed up New Mexico criminal cases receives pushback

The chief judge of New Mexico’s First Judicial District (covering Santa Fe, Rio Arriba, and Los Alamos Counties) has proposed a case management order (CMO) aimed at speeding up the processing of criminal cases within the district. The order was intended to go into effect no later than January, but concerted pushback from attorneys and police and delaying implementation.

The need for faster case processing is evident: the average criminal case in the First Judicial District takes almost 300 days to reach a resolution, as compared to 224 days in the Second District (covering Albuquerque) and under 200 days in some rural districts. But prosecutors and defense attorneys jointly asserted that the real problem is a lack of resources, which no CMO can fix. They also complained that the proposed CMO imposed rules that were inconsistent with procedures in other parts of the state.

Both sides may be right about the challenges, but both should also continue working toward finding creative and viable solutions to reducing the average time to case resolution.

House votes to add 66 new federal judgeships; will Biden veto?

This week, the House of Representatives comfortably passed the JUDGES Act (S.4199), which would add 66 federal judgeships over the next ten years. The judgeships would be phased in over ten years, with the first two tranches coming in 2025 and 2027.

The Senate passed the same bill back in August, but House Republicans stalled a vote on the bill until after the election. Now that Donald Trump will return to the White House, the House Democrats decided that it was their turn to play politics with the judiciary and slow-played the vote until mid-December.

This is an excellent result for a resource-starved judiciary. But it appears that the drama will continue for a while, as President Biden has threatened to veto the bill on his way out the door. It’s worth unpacking the illogic and petulance of his threat.

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New Florida state budget will increase judicial salaries, repair courthouses, hire more court staff

Florida’s $116.5 billion state budget for the coming year will include about $741 million for the judiciary, an increase of just over $30 million from last year. The money will go to–among other things–3% salary bumps for judges and other judicial branch employees, hiring 101 new FTEs throughout the court system, and improvements to existing courthouses.

Federal Advisory Committee considers impact of AI on evidentiary rules

The federal Advisory Committee on Evidence Rules has begun a very preliminary conversation on how artificial intelligence will impact the reliability and authentication of evidence. The committee met with experts in April and has just begun considering whether new rules will be needed to address AI-related concerns. Among the more prominent issues are (1) how to address allegations that proferred evidence is an AI-generated “deepfake” and (2) what the proper test should be for validating mechine learning outputs.

A good summary of the committee’s progress can be found here. The full minutes of their discussion can be found here (starting at page 108). 

This is somewhat reminiscent of the work of a parallel federal court committee, the Advisory Committee on Civil Rules, to address the discovery of electronically stored information (ESI) two decades ago. That committee eventually landed on a package of amendments designed to address the unique chellanges of producing ESI in civil discovery. But it was not an easy road: by the time the new rules went into effect in 2006, individual judges had starting crafting their own approaches to deal with the cases already in front of them. And just a few years later, the technological landscape had changed sufficiently that additional amendments were needed. One should therefore expect the Advisory Committee on Evidence Rules to proceed cautiously, even as AI’s transformation of the social and business landscape proceeds apace.

Federal docket data wants to be free

Over the years, there has been no shortage of workarounds for the federal courts’ PACER system, whose fee structure has been widely criticized and even engendered a lawsuit. Here is another workaround, an extensive database of case dockets going back to 2013, compiled by a Newsweek investigative reporter and posted on the Internet Archive.

(h/t Center for Data Innovation.)

Videoconferencing as a (temporary) solution to the lack of court interpreters

This is an interesting article about the shortage of interpreters in the South Dakota court system. The state only has about 80 qualified interpreters, and only a fraction of them speak the primary languages of non-English-speaking litigants: Spanish, Arabic, Swahili, and Dinka.

The lack of qualified interpreters presents a serious access to justice issue. It can delay cases or even corrupt proceedings if the interpreter translates incorrectly. Moreover, interpreters must have familiarity with the technical language of court proceedings in order to be effective.

The article suggests one technology-based solution: bringing in interpreters remotely through videoconferencing. This approach has its own challenges, including technical glitches and lag time, but it may be the best available response at the moment. Still, it only seems a matter of time before high-quality, reliable AI could be used for simultaneous courtroom translation.